Includes bibliographical references and index.

The emergence of decision analysis / Ralph F. Miles, Jr. -- The foundations of decision analysis revisited / Ronald A. Howard -- Decision analysis : a personal account of how it got started and evolved / Howard Raiffa -- Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research / Lawrence D. Phillips and Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Defining a decision analytic structure / Detlof von Winterfeldt and Ward Edwards -- Developing objectives and attributes / Ralph L. Keeney -- Eliciting probabilities from experts / Stephen C. Hora -- Aggregating probability distributions / Robert T. Clemen and Robert L. Winkler -- Model building with belief networks and influence diagrams / Ross D. Shachter -- A Bayesian approach to learning causal networks / David Heckerman -- Utility and risk preferences / David E. Bell -- Practical value models -- Ralph L. Keeney and Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Extensions of the subjective expected utility model / Robert F. Nau -- Probabilistic risk analysis for engineered systems / Vicki M. Bier and Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. -- The engineering risk-analysis method and some applications / M. Elisabeth Pat�e-Cornell -- Health risk analysis for risk-management decision-making / Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. -- What have we learned from our mistakes? / Barbara Mellers and Connson Locke -- Decision conferencing / Lawrence D. Phillips -- Resource allocation decisions / Don N. Kleinmuntz -- From decision analysis to the decision organization / David Matheson and James E. Matheson -- Building decision competency in organizations / Carl S. Spetzler -- Negotiation analysis : between decisions and games / James K. Sebenius -- The adoption of multiattribute utility theory for the evaluation of plutonium disposition options in the United States and Russia / John C. Butler, Alexander N. Chebeskov, James S. Dyer, Thomas A. Edmunds, Jianmin Jia, and Vladimir I. Oussanov -- Choosing a tritium supply technology for nuclear weapons : reflections on a controversial decision analysis / Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Applications of decision analysis to the military systems acquisition process / Dennis M. Buede and Terry A. Bresnick -- Balancing environmental and operational objectives in nuclear refueling strategies / Phillip C. Beccue and Jeffrey S. Stonebraker -- Perspective on decision analysis applications / Donald L. Keefer, Craig W. Kirkwood, and James L. Corner.