TY - BOOK AU - Bazerman, Max H. AU - Watkins, Michael, TI - Predictable surprises: the disasters you should have seen coming, and how to prevent them SN - 1422122877 AV - 363.347 BAZ U1 - 363.347 PY - 2008/// CY - Boston PB - Harvard Business School Press KW - Emergency management N1 - Includes bibliographical references (p. 299-300) and index; What is a predictable surprise? A preview -- pt. 1. Prototypes of predictable surprises. September 11 : the costs of ignoring a predictable surprise -- The collapse of Enron and the failure of auditor independence -- pt. 2. Why don't we act on what we know? Cognitive roots : the role of human biases -- Organizational roots : the role of institutional failures -- Political roots : the role of special-interest groups -- pt. 3. Preventing predictable surprises. Recognition : identifying emerging threats earlier -- Prioritization : focusing on the right problems -- Mobilization : building support for preventative action -- Future predictable surprises UR - http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0420/2004017441.html ER -